In the Brazilian U20 Cup match, Galvez suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat to Santa Cruz Acre. The visitors opened the scoring in the first half and completely dominated after the break. Santa Cruz Acre held 67% possession and launched 76 dangerous attacks compared to 23 by their opponents, earning 12 corners to just one for the hosts. Galvez received the only red card of the match, further weakening their position. All five goals were scored by the visitors, including one in the very first minute.
With a 4.5 total, the odds are almost equal: 1.83 for over and 1.91 for under. The last five head-to-head games averaged 3.2 goals, translating to a 48 % chance of over 4.5 and 52 % for under 4.5.
The 1.14 price on Santa Cruz Acre implies an 88 % chance of victory, 9.63 on Galvez is around 10 %, and 10.2 on a draw is also 10 %. Adjusting for class gap and recent results, Santa Cruz Acre are estimated at 82 %, Galvez at 12 %, and a draw at 6 %.