Rot-Weiss Essen will host RB Leipzig in the last-32 tie of the German Cup.

Essen’s recent record shows a win, a draw and a loss: 2-0, 3-3, 2-2. Leipzig’s five matches against elite sides ended 1-4, 1-6, 1-0, 6-0 and 0-2.

Essen average 1.6 goals per game, Leipzig 2.0. The over/under 3.5 lines are priced almost identically (1.85/1.89), suggesting a near-coin-flip. Probability of over 3.5 goals stands at 48 %, under at 52 %.

Odds of 12.00 for the hosts and 1.18 for the visitors underline Leipzig’s dominance. Estimated chances: Leipzig win 82 %, draw 13 %, Essen win 5 %.