Chojniczanka will host Legia II in a Polish Second Division match

Chojniczanka recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five games, scoring 13 goals and conceding 9. Legia II managed two wins, one draw and two defeats, netting 8 and conceding 10.

Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals line at 47.4 %. Given Chojniczanka’s 2.6 goals per game average and Legia II’s 1.6, plus the fact that four of Chojniczanka’s and three of Legia II’s last five fixtures produced three or more goals, the probability of the total being cleared sits around 55–58 %.

Odds of 1.69-3.84-3.91 imply probabilities of 59-26-26 %. Adjusting for recent form—Chojniczanka collected eight points, Legia II seven—and noting the visitors’ poorer away record, the true chances look closer to 53–55 % for the hosts, 27–29 % for the guests and roughly 18–20 % for the draw.