In a thrilling Albanian First Division clash, Besa Kavaja edged out Pogradeci 3-2 on home soil. The hosts took control early, scoring in the very first minute and leading 1-0 at halftime. Pogradeci fought back in the second half, pulling one goal back, but Besa struck twice more to seal the victory. Both sides enjoyed almost equal possession, yet the visitors earned twice as many corners, showing greater attacking pressure.

Besa Kavaja proved more clinical in front of goal despite slightly lower corner count. Pogradeci collected more yellow cards, but neither team saw red. No penalties were awarded, and both sides registered a similar number of dangerous attacks. The narrow win gives Besa valuable points in the league standings.

The 2.5-goal line is offered at 2.18 for over and 1.58 for under, suggesting the market expects a lower-scoring game. With Besa averaging 2.0 goals per match and Pogradeci 2.2, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42%, while under 2.5 stands at 58%.

Odds of 2.13 / 3.08 / 3.19 on a home win, draw and away win respectively give Besa Kavajë a modest edge. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head history, the estimated probabilities are: home win 47%, draw 29%, away win 24%.