Samora CF against Deportivo A-Coruna II in the Spanish Championship. Primera Division RFEF. Group 1

Samora CF recorded mixed results lately: a loss to Casereno 0:1, two draws against Ponferradina and in a friendly, plus two wins over CD Coria and Extremadura. Deportivo A-Coruna II are struggling: three straight defeats, including 0:5 to Extremadura and 0:3 to Lugo, with only one victory over Real Union.

Given the hosts’ average scoring rate (1.2 goals per match) and the visitors’ defensive lapses (2.4 goals conceded), the probability of over 2.5 goals is around 52%. The odds of 1.77 on over 2.5 look reasonable.

Samora CF appear stronger: the odds of 1.48 imply a 63% chance of victory. The visitors’ win probability is roughly 17%, while a draw is estimated at 20%.