Narva Trans will host Nõmme United in the 18th round of the Meistriliiga.

Narva Trans have gone five matches without a win (three defeats, two draws) and concede 1.6 goals per game on average. Nõmme United recorded one win and four losses in the same period, yet they still average 1.2 goals scored.

The bookmaker line implies a 44 % probability for over 3.5 goals. The teams’ recent scoring averages (Narva Trans 1.8, Nõmme United 2.8) support an open game, so the chance of over 3.5 goals is assessed at 47 %.

Odds of 2.09 / 3.64 / 2.83 translate to probabilities of 48 % / 27 % / 35 %. Factoring in home advantage and head-to-head trends, Narva Trans win probability is estimated at 42 %, draw at 29 % and away win at 29 %.