Cardiff hosted a Welsh Premier League Women’s match where Cardiff City defeated Swansea City 3-1. The first half ended 1-1, but Cardiff netted twice after the break, including a penalty. Both sides had equal possession, yet Cardiff dominated in corners (11-1) and dangerous attacks (78-35).
Cardiff City Women average 6.0 goals per match, Swansea City Women 4.2. The over 3.5 line at 1.85 implies a 54% chance of exceeding this total.
Odds 1.41 / 4.6 / 6.13 translate to a 71% probability of Cardiff City Women winning, 22% for a draw, and 16% for Swansea City Women.