Deportes Quindío against Tigres Bogotá in the Colombian Primera B championship
Deportes Quindío recorded three wins in their last five matches, two of them clean sheets, yet conceded four goals in the defeat. Tigres Bogotá drew three times and won twice, never keeping a shut-out.
The total line is set at 2.5 goals with odds 2.29 for over and 1.53 for under. Quindío averaged 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game, Tigres 1.6. Given that four of the last five head-to-head matches stayed under 2.5, the probability of under 2.5 goals is estimated at 62 %.
Bookmaker odds stand at 1.76 for the hosts, 3.22 for the draw and 4.41 for the visitors. Considering Quindío’s home form and that they won four of the last five meetings, the probability of a home win is 55 %, draw 28 %, away win 17 %.