Tampa Bay Rowdies will host Sporting Jacksonville in the USL Championship match.

The hosts have recorded three wins, one draw and one loss in the last five fixtures, scoring eleven goals and conceding three. The visitors have lost all five of their recent games with a goal difference of 2-12.

The over 3.5 total at 1.69 appears justified: Tampa Bay Rowdies average 2.2 goals per game recently, while Sporting Jacksonville concede an average of 2.4. The probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 53%.

The 1.08 odds on a Tampa Bay Rowdies victory reflect a significant gap in quality. Considering the hosts’ home strength and the visitors’ poor form, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 89% likely to win, a draw 8%, and a Sporting Jacksonville win 3%.