SD Aucas will host Barcelona Guayaquil in the next round of the Ecuadorian championship.

The hosts have collected only four points in their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. The visitors are also inconsistent: three draws and two defeats, with the same average goals conceded.

Bookmakers set the total line at 2.5 with odds of 2.16 for over and 1.65 for under. Given that an average of 2.2 goals were scored in the last five head-to-heads and both teams average just over one goal per match, the probability of over 2.5 is estimated at 47 %.

The 1X2 odds of 1.88 – 3.35 – 4.18 suggest a slight edge for the hosts. However, head-to-head stats show caution from both sides: four of the last five meetings ended without a win in regular time. Probabilities: Aucas win – 44 %, draw – 31 %, Barcelona win – 25 %.