AEK host Aris in round 16 of the Greek Super League.

AEK are unbeaten in their last four matches, twice winning 4-0. Aris remain without defeat, but their recent games have been high-scoring.

With a 2.5 line at 1.74 for over and 2.1 for under, AEK’s tendency to score at least twice and Aris conceding six goals in two away fixtures push the probability of over to 58 %.

Odds of 1.3 on the hosts versus 9.54 on the visitors suggest a clear favourite. Given three draws in the last five head-to-heads, the implied probabilities are: AEK win 67 %, draw 24 %, Aris win 9 %.