On Sunday, UCAM Murcia hosted Mallorca II in Spain’s Segunda División RFEF Group 3. The home side delivered a commanding 5-1 victory, scoring four unanswered goals before half-time. After the break the outcome was never in doubt, as UCAM maintained 63 % possession and generated twice as many dangerous attacks.

The statistical edge was clear: six corners to two, two converted penalties and only two yellow cards. A red card shown to Mallorca II on 21 minutes further tilted the contest. The visitors’ lone reply proved a mere consolation. UCAM Murcia now sit comfortably among the frontrunners in Group 3.

Ucam Murcia average 2.2 goals per game, Mallorca II 1.6. With over 2.5 priced at 1.71 and under at 1.98, the probability of a higher-scoring match is about 52 %, while the under is around 48 %.

The 1.53 quote for a home win translates to an implied 62 % chance, the draw sits near 24 %, and the away victory is valued at 14 %.