Spezia vs Latina – Italian Serie C, Group B

Spezia have been solid lately, picking up wins over Reggiana, Pescara and Vis Pesaro while keeping clean sheets in most games. Latina’s results are more modest, with narrow victories and a couple of draws.

Spezia average 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded; Latina sit at 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. With the line at 2.5, odds 2.02 over and 1.68 under suggest a slight lean to the under. Probability: under 2.5 ≈ 54%, over 2.5 ≈ 46%.

Odds 1.46-3.74-6.38 point to a clear home edge. Estimated probabilities: Spezia win 62%, draw 27%, Latina win 11%.