In a Serie D match, USD Palmese hosted Ischia Calcio. The hosts took the lead in the very first minute, but the visitors equalised before the break. In the second half Ischia Calcio went ahead and held on to secure a 2-1 victory. USD Palmese enjoyed more possession (52% vs 48%) and earned all three corners, yet the guests proved more clinical. The home side received three yellow cards compared with two for the visitors, and no red cards were shown.

Bookmakers price both over and under 2.5 goals at 1.85, implying a 50 % chance for each outcome. Palmese average 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in their last five; Ischia average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Expect a total around two or three goals.

Home win probability sits at 49 %, draw at 32 % and away win at 28 %. Given the home advantage and three victories in the last four head-to-heads, Palmese are the more likely winners.