Novruz Sulaymaniyah host Diyala in the Iraqi Stars League.

Novruz Sulaymaniyah are unbeaten in their last five matches, securing three convincing wins. Diyala managed only one victory in the same period, losing three times and drawing once.

The over 2.5 goals line is priced at 2.05 against 1.66 for under, signalling expectations of a low-scoring encounter. Both sides average fewer than 1.6 goals scored and under 1.0 conceded per game over the last five fixtures.

The home win is offered at 1.65, with the draw at 3.4 and the away win at 4.78. Given Novruz’s strong home form and Diyala’s poor away record, the estimated probabilities are 58 % home win, 26 % draw and 16 % away win.