Fasil Kenema will host Ethiopian Insurance in matchday 14 of the Ethiopian Premier League.

Both sides have played five league fixtures so far. Fasil Kenema average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Ethiopian Insurance post 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.

The total line sits at 2.5 with odds 2.16 for over and 1.70 for under, implying a 55-58 % chance of under 2.5 goals. Given the modest scoring records, the under appears the better value.

The implied probabilities are 37 % home win, 29 % draw and 41 % away win. Ethiopian Insurance hold a marginal edge, but the margin is slim.