In the Brazilian Northeast Cup match, Fortaleza EC lost 1-2 at home to Vitória Salvador. The first half ended goalless, with the decisive moments unfolding in the second period. The visitors converted a penalty and, despite equal possession, created far more dangerous opportunities.

Vitória Salvador earned seven corners to three and launched significantly more attacks. Fortaleza EC collected four yellow cards and one red, while the guests received only three cautions. The hosts’ lone goal came in the very first minute, yet it proved insufficient to alter the final outcome.

The average goals scored and conceded by both sides suggest a 48% chance for over 2.5 goals. The odds of 2.21 on the over appear reasonable given the attacking approach of each team.

The probability of a home win stands at 39%, the away side has a 31% chance of victory, while a draw is estimated at 30%.