In a Campeonato Catarinense Divisão B2 clash, Jaraguá hosted Guarani Palhoça and suffered a 1-3 defeat. The visitors took the lead before half-time and added two more goals after the break, while the hosts managed only a late reply.

Guarani Palhoça enjoyed 55 % possession compared with 45 % for Jaraguá and launched more attacks overall. However, the home side earned three corners to the visitors’ one. Both teams stayed disciplined, receiving three and one yellow cards respectively, with no red cards shown. Goals were scored at similar intervals, underlining a competitive contest.

With the line set at 3 goals and odds of 1.70 for over and 2.09 for under, Jaragua’s defensive record of 3.4 goals conceded per game and Guarani Palhoca’s modest scoring rate of 0.4 goals per game suggest a 48 % chance of over 3 goals and a 52 % chance of under 3 goals.

Odds of 9.40 / 4.49 / 1.33 clearly favour the visitors. Based on recent form, the probability of a home win is estimated at 8 %, a draw at 19 % and an away win at 73 %.