Criciuma (20) vs Gremio Porto Alegre (20) in the Brazilian Championship U20

Criciuma showed inconsistency lately: a win over Vasco, losses to Cuiaba and Palmeiras, a narrow win over Figueirense, and a defeat to the Botafogo/Vitoria/Sport combined side. Gremio Porto Alegre also had mixed results: big wins over Bahia and Fortaleza, but losses to Internacional and the Botafogo/Vitoria/Sport side.

Bookmakers assess the probability of over 3 goals at 58% (odds 1.72), and under 3 goals at 49% (2.05). Criciuma’s average goals per game recently is 1.8, Gremio’s is also 1.8. Based on odds and stats, the chance of over 3 goals is estimated at 55%.

Criciuma win is priced at 53% (1.9), draw at 26% (3.91), Gremio win at 30% (3.34). Considering recent results and odds, Criciuma’s win probability is about 48%, draw 28%, Gremio win 24%.