In the Uzbekistan Pro League match, Shurtan defeated Metallurg Bekabad 1-0 at home. The only goal came in the very first minute, and the hosts held on to their slim lead until the final whistle. Metallurg enjoyed slightly less possession (46 %) but launched more attacks (41 vs 31). Both sides earned four corners each, yet the visitors picked up two yellow cards while Shurtan stayed disciplined. Ultimately, Shurtan secured the win thanks to higher ball possession and a clean sheet.

The average scoring rate suggests the probability of over 2.5 goals is around 48 %. The odds 1.86 and 1.89 are almost identical, indicating a balanced chance for either side of the line.

Shurtan’s win probability is estimated at 37 %, a draw at 28 %, and Metallurg Bekabad’s success at 35 %. The minimal difference in odds leaves the outcome open.