In a U21 Eredivisie clash, Groningen defeated De Graafschap 3-1 at home. The hosts struck in the very first minute and led 1-0 at half-time. Despite an even share of possession in the second half, Groningen converted their chances more efficiently and secured the win.
De Graafschap enjoyed 52 % possession and earned seven corners to Groningen’s one, yet created fewer dangerous attacks. Both sides finished with no penalties awarded and no red cards; Groningen collected two yellows while their opponents received one. The result underlined Groningen’s clinical finishing on the day.
Groningen (21) average 2.2 goals per game, De Graafschap (21) 1.8. Given the 1.76 odds on over 3 goals, the probability that the match exceeds three goals is estimated at 52%.
Probability of a Groningen (21) win is 46%, a draw 26%, and a De Graafschap (21) win 28%.