On 4 June in the Senegalese Premier League, Gediauey hosted Teungueth and lost 0-1. The only goal came in the opening minute and remained the winner. Teungueth held 56 % possession to Gediauey’s 44 % and launched more attacks (52-44), while earning eight corners to two. Each side received one yellow card and no reds were shown.

Bookmakers price the over 1.5 goals line at 60 % probability and the under at 40 %. Across their last five matches Guediawaye average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Teungueth post 0.6 scored and 0.2 conceded. The combination of modest scoring records and odds on the under suggests a 55 % likelihood that fewer than 1.5 goals will be scored.

Odds of 4.25-3.23-1.86 translate into implied probabilities of 23 % for a Guediawaye win, 30 % for a draw and 47 % for Teungueth. Taking into account the visitors’ three wins in five and four draws in head-to-head fixtures, the estimated chances stand at 25 % home win, 32 % draw and 43 % away win.