In the Catarinense U20 League, Avaí comfortably defeated Nakao 3-1. The hosts took a 2-0 lead in the first half and added another goal after the break. Avaí held 56 % possession and launched 55 dangerous attacks, while Nakao earned more corners (7-3).

Although Nakao received four yellow cards to Avaí’s one, they could not turn the game around. Avaí opened the scoring in the very first minute and stayed in control until the final whistle.

With a line set at 3, bookmakers price Over at 57 % and Under at 50 %. Avai average 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Nakao average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded. This suggests a 48 % chance for Over and 52 % for Under.

Odds of 1.61-4.61-4.1 translate to implied probabilities of roughly 62-22-24 %. Factoring in Avai’s home advantage, the estimated chances are 58 % home win, 24 % draw, 18 % away win.