In the Espírito Santo Cup match, Vilavelhense secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Vitória EC. The only goal came in the very first minute, and the hosts defended their lead until the final whistle. They controlled 52 % of possession, earned ten corners to the visitors’ one, and launched 107 dangerous attacks compared to 45. Vilavelhense received two yellow cards while their opponents finished without any. The statistical dominance translated into a deserved win for the home side.

The bookmaker line sets the total at 2.5 goals with odds 1.72 for over and 2.05 for under. Considering both sides average around 1.9 goals per game recently, the chance of more than 2.5 goals is estimated at about 53%.

Odds of 1.67 for the hosts, 3.91 for a draw and 4.43 for the visitors suggest a slight edge for Vilavelhense. Factoring in recent head-to-head results where Vitoria performed strongly, the probabilities stand at 42% home win, 29% draw and 29% away win.