In a friendly U21 match Sweden lost to Finland 1-3. After a 1-1 first half the visitors took control and scored twice more. Sweden earned more corners (3-2), yet Finland proved more clinical and secured a convincing win.

The bookmakers’ line sets the total at 3 goals with odds of 1.9 on both sides. Based on average scoring data, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48%.

Sweden’s win probability stands at 50%, a draw at 26% and Finland’s victory at 24%.