Leones del Norte will host Macará in the Ecuadorian Championship.

Leones del Norte collected seven points from their last five fixtures, winning against Mushuc Runa (3-1) and Emelec (2-0) while losing to Técnico Universitario (1-2) and Orense SC (0-2). Macará have gone five matches without a win, drawing 0-0 with América de Cali and Alianza Atlético and losing 0-2 to Emelec and 0-3 to Independiente del Valle.

The over/under 2.0 line is priced almost evenly (1.98 / 1.83). Both sides average fewer than one goal per game recently, and four of Leones del Norte’s last five matches and four of Macará’s finished with two goals or fewer. The probability of under 2.0 goals is estimated at 56 %.

Betting odds are nearly identical: 2.82 for the hosts, 2.89 for the draw and 2.72 for the visitors. Factoring in home advantage and low scoring trends, Leones del Norte’s win chance is 34 %, a draw 33 % and Macará’s win 33 %.