Belgium against Senegal in the 2026 World Cup

Belgium’s recent record mixes emphatic wins over New Zealand (5-1) and Tunisia (5-0) with goalless draws against Iran and Croatia. Senegal’s form is uneven, featuring a 5-0 thrashing of Iraq alongside defeats to Norway, France and the USA.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 56 % (1.78) and the under at 48 % (2.10). Belgium average 2.6 goals scored per match while Senegal concede 2.2, suggesting a 53 % likelihood that the game exceeds 2.5 goals.

Odds of 1.99 / 3.46 / 4.18 translate to roughly 50 % chance of a Belgium win, 29 % draw and 24 % Senegal win. Factoring in squad depth and home advantage, Belgium’s realistic probability of victory sits at 48–51 %.