In a friendly match between the U21 national teams, Turkey defeated Kosovo 1-0. The only goal was scored in the very first minute, and the score remained unchanged until the final whistle. The hosts dominated possession with 58 % of the ball and earned eight corners compared to two for their opponents.
Turkey also created far more attacking moves — 129 against 58. Both sides received one yellow card each, and no red cards were shown. The narrow victory went to the more active and aggressive Turkish side.
Bookmakers price the over 3 goals line at 49,8 % and the under at 55,2 %. Given Turkey U21 average 1,6 goals scored and 0,8 conceded, while Kosovo U21 average 2,2 scored and 0,6 conceded, the over appears the more probable outcome.
Odds of 1,41-4,62-7,03 translate into implied probabilities of roughly 70,9 % for a Turkey U21 win, 21,6 % for a draw and 14,2 % for a Kosovo U21 victory. Considering the quality gap and home advantage, a home win is the likeliest result.