In a tense Leinster League clash, Finglas United fell 2-3 to Saint Mochtas. The visitors dominated the first half by scoring three goals before the break, while the hosts managed to pull one back after the interval. Despite enjoying 54 % possession and a commanding 11-1 corner advantage, Finglas United could not overturn the deficit. Although they launched nearly twice as many attacks, clinical finishing proved decisive for the away side.

The bookmaker’s line sets the probability of over 3.5 goals at 51 %. Average scoring rates (1.8 and 1.6 goals per game) suggest the line may go over with roughly 48 % likelihood.

Odds of 2.60 for Finglas United, 4.05 for a draw and 2.29 for Saint Mochta’s translate into probabilities of 38 %, 25 % and 44 %.