In the Malian Premier Division match, hosts Mali Koura secured a convincing 2-0 win over US Bougouni. The first half ended goalless, with both goals arriving after the break. Mali Koura dominated possession with 56 % to 44 % and earned five corners to the visitors’ two. Although both sides received three yellow cards, US Bougouni were reduced to ten men following two red cards, tilting the game decisively. Mali Koura also launched far more attacks, 116 compared with 73.

Mali Koura averaged 2.4 goals per game in their last five fixtures, US Bougouni 2.6. The line is set at 2 with odds 2.06 for over and 1.77 for under. Given both sides’ modest scoring output, the probability of over 2 goals is 48 % and under 2 goals 52 %.

Odds of 1.99 for a home win, 3.01 for a draw and 4.28 for an away win suggest a slight edge for Mali Koura. Based on recent form the home side is expected to win with 46 % probability, draw 31 % and away win 23 %.