In the Argentine Reserve League clash, San Lorenzo II fell to a narrow 0-1 defeat at home to Velez Sarsfield II. The only goal came in the opening minute, proving decisive. The hosts held 49 % possession to the visitors’ 51 %, yet managed just two corners against five. San Lorenzo received three yellow cards and one red, while Velez picked up two cautions. The away side also created more dangerous attacks, 83 to 58.

The total line stands at 2.5 with odds 1.74 for over and 2.1 for under, suggesting a 55-57 % chance of more than 2.5 goals. San Lorenzo II average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in the last five matches, while Velez Sarsfield II average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Odds of 3.71 for a San Lorenzo II win, 3.71 for a draw and 1.89 for a Velez Sarsfield II win translate to probabilities of roughly 27 % for the hosts, 27 % for a draw and 46 % for the visitors.